FanBoardHQ

Kent State

Kent State University · 2022 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#94
Efficiency
-8.9
100th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 12
Kent State Fanboard →

Kent State went 5-7 and was ranked 94th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 63rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 118th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 35th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 75th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-1
Q4
5-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
95th
-4.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
76th
full season
76th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
114th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ WashingtonPac-12#13L 2045-26.60%-17.0Q1
2@ OklahomaBig 12#48L 333-22.10%-15.7Q1
3vs Long Island UniversityNECW 6310+31.8100%-7.3Q4
4@ GeorgiaSEC#1L 2239-41.70%14.9Q1
5vs OhioMid-American#62W 3124-2.1100%-5.8Q4
6@ Miami-OHMid-American#101L 2427+1.60%-10.0Q4
7@ ToledoMid-American#69L 3152-7.80%-20.8Q3
8vs AkronMid-American#127W 3327+12.4100%-15.0Q4
10vs Ball StateMid-American#108L 2027+7.90%-23.2Q4
11@ Bowling GreenMid-American#104W 406+5.2100%12.5Q4
12vs Eastern MichiganMid-American#75L 2431+3.80%-18.3Q4
13@ BuffaloMid-American#87W 3027-4.1100%-1.8Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kent State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-20.1-4.1+11.9-17-16-715-6-10-21-15-2313-18-2Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 75th
SR 72ndYPP 66thEPA 77th
RushingEff 35th
SR 39thYPP 53rdEPA 31st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 130th
SR 125thYPP 123rdEPA 127th
Rush defenseEff 98th
SR 107thYPP 98thEPA 95th
Dropback rate 45%Tempo +2.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 75th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 47%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 68.0Q1 · Allowed: 76.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 109.0Q2 · Allowed: 99.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 40.0Q3 · Allowed: 105.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 86.0Q4 · Allowed: 59.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKent StateOffenseDefense
Kent State Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 63rd
+0.3
Field position: -0.9Finishing drives: +1.2
Field position -0.9Finishing drives +1.2= +0.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 101st · Finishing 54th

Defensive EffRanked 118th
-9.0
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: -7.9
Field position -1.1Finishing drives -7.9= -9.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 99th · Finishing 123rd

1.60 points per drive on offense, 2.10 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(212)40% / 60%44%6.0
Q2(228)44% / 56%43%6.2
Q3(214)43% / 57%45%5.8
Q4(196)45% / 55%45%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(151)10.147%7.4
2nd(121)8.442%6.7
3rd(87)8.130%5.7
4th(8)7.338%3.6
All (367)41%6.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(237)9.943%5.1
2nd(149)7.647%5.7
3rd(81)6.456%5.9
4th(16)2.756%4.3
All (483)47%5.4

Kent State, all games.